Tsunami Landslide Storm

Tsunami Landslide Storm

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Monster Guard - An all-new (fun!) approach from #disney and the #redcross to help youth prepare for and react to emergencies



What can a group of green, blue, and red monsters teach youth about emergency preparedness? 


More than you might think.

The American Red Cross and Disney recently developed the Monster Guard mobile app using the latest research on emergency preparedness. Geared toward children between the ages of 7 and 11, the Monster Guard app teaches kids how to prepare for and react to potential emergency situations in a fun and engaging way.

Users can play as one of five monster characters and complete up to 15 training sessions including levels like the “Fire Escape Episode” or the “Flood Episode.” 
The Red Cross and Disney encourage players to share the game with their friends and discuss what they learned with adults.

You can download the app at http://www.redcross.org/monsterguard.
Happy gaming!

Monday, December 29, 2014

Storm brings windy and cold winter weather this week


Overview

A quick moving storm system will sweep quickly through the area tonight and into early Tuesday. There will not be much moisture available for the system, so outside of a few sprinkles overnight, it will be mainly dry. The system's main impacts will be a period of strong winds Tuesday and into Wednesday, then followed by colder temperatures with widespread lows in the 30s and near freezing conditions in some urban locations. Temperatures will moderate by later this week. 






CONFIDENCE

·  High

UPDATED INFORMATION
  • Wind Advisory will begin earlier in the North Bay Mountains Tuesday morning.
  • Updated low temperatures and included graphics.

TIMING

·  STRONGER WINDS BEGIN

o North Bay Mountains: After 7 AM Tuesday morning
o Bay Area: After 1 PM Tuesday afternoon

·  WINDS DIMINISH

o Around noon Wednesday

·  COLDEST OVERNIGHT LOWS

o Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday nights (Wednesday night coldest)

LOCATIONS
  • WINDS
·  Strong and gusty winds across entire Bay Area. 
·  Highest wind gusts found in North and East Bay Hills.
·  Monterey Bay Area/San Benito County not as strong as other areas.
  • COLD TEMPERATURES
·  Urban areas experience coldest temperatures Wednesday night.
·  Temperatures 32-35 degrees in San Jose and Oakland metro areas Wednesday night.
·  Temperatures in San Francisco metro area 35-40 degrees Wednesday night.
·  Interior, non urban areas will fall to between 25-35 degrees each night Tue-Thu. 
·  Coastal areas 35-40 degrees each night Tue-Thu.

IMPACTS

*Hazards:

·  Wind Advisory Tue AM - Wed PM: http://1.usa.gov/1Bfx0oR
·  All current Watch/Warning/Advisories: http://1.usa.gov/1boSTTW

*Impact 1 (Strong North/Northeast Winds) :

·  High Terrain: 35-40 MPH gusting up to 60 MPH 
·  Low elevations 20-30 MPH gusting up to 45 MPH
·  Winds may bring down some trees/power lines, resulting in outages.
·  Increased travel difficulties, especially in hills and on large bridges.

*Impact 2 (Cold temperatures):

·  Lows near freezing in Urban San Jose/Oakland areas will be hazardous for at-risk and vulnerable populations.
·  Combination of wind and temperatures will bring low wind chills that can be hazardous for pets or livestock. 
·  Sensitive vegetation will be damaged by cold low temperatures. 


NWS will continue to provide updates if the forecast changes.

Monitor NWS Monterey Facebook and Twitter for further updates.

Fort Hunter Liggett Prescribed Burn - December 29th



Fort Hunter Liggett Pile Burns

Burn Date:
Monday December 29, 2014
Name of Prescribed Burn Project:
Fort Hunter Liggett Pile Burns
Conducted by:
Fort Hunter Liggett Fire Department
Purpose:
Fire Hazard Reduction; Wildland Vegetation Management
Smoke Management Permit #
446-2014
North Central Coast Burn Zone:
Inland Zone
Location:
West of Sam Jones Rd.
Tons (pile burns):
Four piles; 8’ D x 4’ H; ~ 5 tons
Type of Fuels:
Brush, pine, oak

For more information on prescribed burns, including ones that are planned, visit 

The Monterey Bay Unified Air Pollution Control District also provides air quality monitoring. Current data can be found at http://air.mbuapcd.org/ 

Friday, December 19, 2014

Mid Coast Fire Fundraiser for Ocean Rescue - Food, drinks, raffles, live music and DJ!

Mid Coast Fire Fundraiser: December 20th at the American Legion in Carmel from 4 PM -2:30 AM; food, drinks, raffles, silent auction, and music


The Mid Coast Fire Brigade is holding a fundraising event on Saturday, December 20th  to assist with the creation of an ocean rescue division by helping to fund training and specialized equipment costs. 

Attendance and support can make a difference in keeping residents and visitors safe along Monterey County's beautiful coastlines.

For more information, visit the Mid Coast Fire Brigade website at http://www.midcoastfirebrigade.org/index.asp 

Thursday, December 18, 2014

Final #storm system for this week - bringing cold temps but not much more rain


Overview

A final storm system for this week will bring more rain to our area tonight through Friday. Rainfall amounts should be quite a bit less than previous storms. Mostly dry weather is expected for the weekend into the first half of next week.

Rainfall forecast for Thursday night (December 18th) into Friday morning (December 19th)

 We are expecting 1/3" to 2/3" for most urban areas 

TIMING

·  Moderate rain associated with a cold front will return to the North Bay tonight and spread south to the San Francisco and Monterey Bay Region late Friday morning into the afternoon. Some light rain is also possible ahead of the front.  

LOCATIONS

·  The heaviest rainfall is forecast for the North Bay.

IMPACTS

*Hazards:

·  No watches/warnings/advisories in effect at this time.

*Impact 1 (Rainfall) :

·  Amounts are expected to be less than previous storms with generally 1/3" to 2/3" for urban locations by Friday evening. Locally more than 1" can be expected for the North Bay Mountains. Due to all of the recent rains some locations may see minor debris flows or urban and small stream flooding. Please see the attached image for more information.

*Impact 2 (High Surf):

·  Along the North Bay Coast from 3 PM Friday to 3 PM Saturday. Waves of 15 to 18 FT with breakers to 20 FT.

*Impact 3 (Winds):

·  Southerly winds of 15 to 25 mph with locally higher gusts can be expected along higher elevation locations tonight into Friday.



Monitor NWS Monterey Facebook and Twitter for further updates.

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

More #rain tonight

National Weather Service logo


Rain tonight in Monterey County. Looking at more than 1" on the coast and about 1/2 an inch inland. Showers will taper off through Wednesday with dry weather forecast for Thursday.





Visit www.co.monterey.ca.us/oes for more info on: 

  • road conditions and closures 
  • traffic
  • power status 
  • sand bag/pile locations


Try to stay dry!


Friday, December 12, 2014

Per @NWSBayArea, a #wx / #storm outlook


Looking at light to moderate rainfall today, mostly in the coastal regions of the county, where Big Sur could receive another 1/2-1" of rain (most other areas are looking at around 1/10"). High wind speeds are not expected but slides or slide potential could be exacerbated.





Looking ahead to next week, we have another system on Monday/Tuesday in which models are showing rainfall in the range of 2" or more (especially in the Santa Lucias) and one on Friday (which is hard to predict at this point) which may bring several more inches of rainfall.

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Preparing for a #power #outage

With tomorrow's storm anticipated to bring high winds (60+ mph in some places), the possibility for downed trees and loss of power is more likely than normal. 
While most power outages can be dealt with somewhat quickly, it's never a bad idea to think about ways that an absence of electricity would impact your daily life.  

Utility repair on power lines
Photo credit: FEMA
Here are some tips to help you prepare for a loss of power -

Before you lose power:

  • - To begin preparing, look at building an emergency kit and making a family communications plan.

  • - Fill plastic containers with water and place them in the refrigerator and freezer if there's room. Leave about an inch of space inside each one, because water expands as it freezes. This chilled or frozen water will help keep food cold during a temporary power outage, by displacing air that can warm up quickly with water or ice that keeps cold for several hours without additional refrigeration.

  • - Be aware that most medication that requires refrigeration can be kept in a closed refrigerator for several hours without a problem. If unsure, check with your physician or pharmacist.
- Keep your car tank at least half full because most gas stations rely on electricity to power their pumps.

- If applicable, know where the manual release lever of your electric garage door opener is located and how to operate it. Garage doors can be heavy, so know that you may need help to lift it.

    • Keep a key to your house with you if you regularly use the garage as the primary means of entering your home, in case the garage door will not open. 
  • - Have a flashlight handy 
    • Don't forget extra batteries!
Other helpful items include:

  • - A battery-powered or hand-crank radio (NOAA Weather Radio, if possible) as a source of information 
- A first-aid kit

- Medications (7-day supply) and required medical items

- A multi-purpose tool

- Sanitation and personal hygiene items

- Copies of personal documents (medication list and pertinent medical information, deed/lease to home, birth certificates, insurance policies)

- Cell phones & a way to charge them
  • Battery-powered chargers, car chargers, solar chargers, hand-crank, etc 
- Family and emergency contact information

- Extra cash
  • ATMs will not work and stores may not be able to process card-based transactions
- A non-cordless telephone 
  • It may work even when the power is out
* If someone in your home is dependent on electric-powered, life-sustaining equipment, remember to include backup power in your plan

If power goes out:

  • Use only flashlights for emergency lighting. NEVER use candles during a blackout or power outage due to  risk of fire.
  • Keep refrigerator and freezer doors closed to keep your food as fresh as possible. If you must eat food that was refrigerated or frozen, check it carefully for signs of spoilage.
  • Turn off or disconnect appliances, equipment or electronics in use when the power went out. Power may return with momentary "surges” or “spikes” that can damage computers as well as motors in appliances like the air conditioner, refrigerator, washer or furnace.
  • Do not run a generator inside a home or garage.
  • Listen to local radio and to a battery- or generator-powered television for updated information.
  • Leave on one light so that you'll know when your power returns.
  • Do not call 9-1-1 for information—call only to report a life-threatening emergency. Use the phone for life-threatening emergencies only.
  • Put on layers of warm clothing if it is cold outside. Never burn charcoal for heating or cooking indoors. Never use your oven as a source of heat. If the power may be out for a prolonged period, plan to go to another location that has heat to keep warm.
  • Provide plenty of fresh, cool water for your pets.
  • Eliminate unnecessary travel, especially by car. Traffic signals stop working during an outage, creating traffic congestion.
  • Do not ever touch a downed power line.



#Storm reports via Twitter: Here's how to do it

Storm Reports via Twitter
You can now submit your significant weather observations to the National Weather Service (NWS) via Twitter.

Everyone talks about the weather.  Now's your chance to "tweet" it and be heard.  Through an experimental program, the National Weather Service will be searching for tweets that contain significant weather information. 

Why Twitter?

An advantage of searching Twitter for weather reports is the capability to utilize recently added "geotagging" -- geographical information that is associated with something, in this case individual Tweets.  This allows the NWS to correlate each Tweet to its location when it was sent.  This capability will help to enhance and increase timely and accurate online weather reporting and communication between the public and their local weather forecast offices.  The reports will be carefully evaluated during the experiment to ensure quality and timeliness.

Who Can Participate?

Anyone with a Twitter account can participate.  Note: Trained storm spotters should use pre-established communication methods (toll-free line, eSpotter, etc.), when possible, to send severe weather reports to the NWS.

Here's What You Need to Do:

If Geotagging is available on your 3rd party Twitter application:
  1. Make sure geotagging is turned on for your 3rd party Twitter app.
  2. Make sure geotagging is turned on for your Twitter account page.
  3. Submit your Tweet report via your 3rd party app in the following format:
            #wxreport your significant weather report
Some examples of weather report tweets with geotagging:

  Ex. 1:   #wxreport 6.0" of new snow as of 1 pm
  Ex. 2:   #wxreport Hail 3/4 inch in diameter at 4:25 pm

If Geotagging is NOT available on your 3rd party Twitter application (or you want to use the web-based Twitter.com):
  1. Log into your Twitter account via the web or mobile device.
  2. Submit your tweet report in the following format:
           #wxreport  WW  your location  WW  your significant weather report
  3. Your location can be just about anything, but the more specific the better.  Here are some examples listed from most accurate to least accurate location identification:
    • Most accurate--A latitude and longitude:
       WW 44.231, -88.485 WW
    • An address:
       WW 2485 S Point Rd, Green Bay, WI 54313 WW
    • A street intersection:
       WW intersection of Holly St and N 4th St, Perry, OK WW
    • A city name:
       WW Ft Lauderdale, FL WW
    • Least accurate--A zip code:
       WW 53221 WW
Some examples of weather report tweets without geotagging:

  Ex. 1:   #wxreport WW 1289 W Oakridge Circle, St Louis, MO WW 6.0" new snow as of 1 pm
  Ex. 2:   #wxreport WW 44.115, -88.595 WW Hail 3/4 inch in diameter at 4:25 pm

What You Can Report

You can tweet any weather event that occurs in your local area, but we are most interested in significant events: snowfall, severe weather, flooding, etc.  In particular:
  • Damage from winds--briefly describe what was damaged and time it occurred.
  • Hail--include size of hail and time it fell.
  • Tornadoes or funnel clouds.
  • Flooding--briefly describe what is occurring.
  • Snowfall during an event and storm total.  When reporting snowfall, include the time period when it fell.
  • Freezing rain or freezing drizzle producing a 'glaze' on objects or roads.
  • Dense fog restricting visibility to less than a half mile.

Additional Guidance
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • The purpose of this project is to allow people to submit reports.  Please be responsible and respectful of the purpose.
  • Be as specific as possible when describing the weather report.
  • A valid Twitter user account is required to submit reports.  As such, use of this service constitutes an agreement to the terms of service of the provider. Go to: http://twitter.com/tos for more information
  • Interested in displaying tweets from the project on your own web page? The files you need are contained here (zip). See the "readme.txt" file included for more information.

If you have any questions or suggestions for the program, please contact Corey Pieper -- corey.pieper@noaa.gov

Winter Storm Prep: Free Sand & Sandbags

Photo credit:  Santa Barbara County OES and KEYT 

For information regarding sand stockpile locations and where you can get sandbags in preparation for this winter's storms, please click the links below:

For residents of our incorporated cities, please contact your city's Public Works Department


Sand Stockpiles

Sandbag Locations

Monday, December 8, 2014

Flash Flood / High Wind Watch from @NWSBayArea - Wednesday Night through Thursday Night




...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH 
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... 
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA HAS ISSUED A 
 
* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE SAN FRANCISCO AND MONTEREY BAY REGION. 
 
* FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT 
 
* A VERY WET STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL TO OUR 
AREA BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT OVER THE NORTH BAY AND SPREADING 
TO THE SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY. RAIN WILL LIKELY BE 
HEAVY AT TIMES WHICH WILL INCREASE THE RISK FOR FLOODING. 
 
* RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES FOR 
NORTH BAY VALLEYS...AN INCH AND A HALF TO THREE INCHES FOR MOST 
URBAN AREAS FOR THE SAN FRANCISCO PENINSULA AND MONTEREY BAY 
REGION...AND UP TO 8 INCHES FOR THE COASTAL RANGES. 

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH 
THURSDAY AFTERNOON... 
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN FRANCISCO HAS ISSUED A HIGH 
WIND WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH 
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 
 
* TIMING: WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON STARTING IN 
THE NORTH BAY AND INCREASING TO THE SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY. 
 
* WINDS: WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS WELL OVER 40 MPH FOR 
URBAN LOCATIONS. WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS WELL OVER 60 
MPH FOR HIGHER ELEVATION LOCATIONS. 
 
* IMPACTS: DOWNED TREES AND FALLING POWER LINES CREATING WIDESPREAD POWER 
OUTAGES. DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBAYAREA
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSBAYAREA






POWERFUL STORM TO IMPACT MONTEREY BAY AREA FROM LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT




A STRONG STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OFF THE CALIFORNIA 
COAST BY MIDWEEK. 

THIS STORM WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD RAIN INTO THE 
NORTH BAY BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HEAVY RAIN WILL THEN LIKELY 
DEVELOP IN THE NORTH BAY ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE STORM SYSTEM 
BEGINS TO PUSH INLAND. A BAND OF HEAVY RAIN IS THEN FORECAST TO 
SHIFT SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY 
AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...AND THEN SOUTH INTO THE 
MONTEREY BAY AREA AND CENTRAL COAST FROM MIDDAY THURSDAY THROUGH 
THURSDAY EVENING. RAINFALL WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF BY THURSDAY 
NIGHT...BUT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING. 

RAINFALL TOTALS WITH THIS STORM FROM LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY 
ARE CURRENTLY PROJECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES IN URBAN AREAS 
AND AT LOWER ELEVATIONS IN GENERAL...AND FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES IN 
THE HILLS. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
NORTH BAY COASTAL MOUNTAINS...THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS...AND THE 
SANTA LUCIAS. 

RECENT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS SATURATED THE SOILS ACROSS THE 
REGION. HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS UPCOMING STORM WILL THEREFORE RESULT 
IN MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS...AS WELL 
AS RAPID RISES ON AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS. 

IF HEAVY RAINFALL PERSISTS FOR ANY LENGTH OF TIME...MORE WIDESPREAD                                                             AND SIGNIFICANT FLOODING WILL RESULT. 

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN MUD SLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS                                                          IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. 

THIS STORM IS ALSO FORECAST TO PRODUCE STRONG AND POTENTIALLY 
DAMAGING WINDS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY 
AFTERNOON AND BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 
STRONGEST WINDS ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT 
THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY. DURING THIS TIME...WIDESPREAD WINDS 
GUSTS OF UP TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY AND LOCAL WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 70 
MPH ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE COAST AND IN THE HILLS. WIND SPEEDS OF 
THIS MAGNITUDE WILL TOPPLE TREES AND BRING DOWN POWER LINES. 
WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. 

THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL GENERATE LARGE WAVES OFFSHORE...WHICH WILL 
BEGIN TO BREAK ALONG OUR COAST BY MIDWEEK. HEAVY SURF WILL THEN 
CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. 

ANYONE LIVING IN...OR TRAVELING TO...THE SAN FRANCISCO AND 
MONTEREY BAY AREAS LATER THIS WEEK SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR STORMY 
CONDITIONS WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS. 

TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES ARE LIKELY DUE TO SLICK ROADWAYS...ROADWAY 
FLOODING AND AIRPORT DELAYS. LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS SHOULD BE 
SECURED TO PREVENT THEM FROM BEING BLOWN ABOUT BY THE STRONG 
WINDS. 

PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATES ON 
THIS UPCOMING STORM AT http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mtr/




Friday, December 5, 2014

M4.1 #earthquake near San Juan Bautista

Globe with Earthquake Location

M4.1 - CENTRAL CALIFORNIA

Preliminary Earthquake Report
Magnitude4.1
Date-Time
  • 6 Dec 2014 02:16:07 UTC
  • 5 Dec 2014 18:16:07 near epicenter
  • 5 Dec 2014 18:16:07 standard time in your timezone
Location36.797N 121.512W
Depth6 km
Distances
  • 5 km (3 mi) SSE of San Juan Bautista, California
  • 11 km (6 mi) WSW of Hollister, California
  • 14 km (8 mi) E of Prunedale, California
  • 18 km (11 mi) NE of Salinas, California
  • 198 km (122 mi) S of Sacramento, California
Location UncertaintyHorizontal: 0.2 km; Vertical 0.4 km
ParametersNph = 58; Dmin = 5.9 km; Rmss = 0.09 seconds; Gp = 37°
Version = 3
Event IDnc 72360741

For updates, maps, and technical information, see: Event Page orUSGS Earthquake Hazards Program
CISN Northern California Management Center
U.S. Geological Survey
Berkeley Seismological Laboratory

http://www.cisn.org/ncmc.html
Disclaimer

Driving in the #rain: Here's how to stay safe

With rainy weather back in our forecast, it’s a good time to review
rainy weather driving tips. The folks at the Transportation Agency for
Monterey County are sharing these tips from Smart Motorist, a nonprofit
automobile safety organization.





* First and foremost - slow down! It takes longer to stop or adjust in wet weather.

* Stay toward the middle lanes - did you know water tends to pool in the outside lanes?

* Always maintain proper following distance (3 Second Rule), but allow more room
during wet weather.

* Drive in the tracks of a car ahead of you.

* Don't follow large trucks or buses too closely. The spray created by their large tires
reduces your vision.

* Be more alert.

* Avoid using your brakes; if possible, take your foot off the accelerator to slow
down.



* Turn on your headlights in light rain,
gloomy, foggy or overcast conditions. Not
only do they help you see the road, but
they'll help other drivers see you.

* Replace old or brittle wipers once a year.

* Never drive beyond the limits of visibility.

* Never drive through moving water if you can't
see the ground through it.

* When driving through a puddle of uncertain
depth, go slow. If it's deeper than the bottom of
your doors, turn around and find another route.
Deep water can cause serious damage to a car's
electrical system.

* If possible, stay off the road during heavy
thunderstorms. Large flashes of lightning can
temporarily blind and disorient drivers, and the
accompanying high winds and heavy rain can
create deadly driving conditions.

* Make sure the soles of your shoes are dry to
prevent slipping off pedals.

* Make sure tires are in good condition. Bald
tires reduce traction and place you in danger
of hydroplaning.

* Watch out for oily deposits on the road. The
rain blends with oil and rubber-dust deposits
on the road surface to form a highly
dangerous skid mixture.

* If you find yourself in a skid, remain calm.
Ease your foot off the gas and carefully
steer in the direction you want the front of
the car to go. This procedure, known as
‘steering into the skid,’ will bring the back
end of your car in line with the front. For
cars without anti-lock brakes, avoid using
your brakes. If your car has ABS, brake
firmly as you steer into the skid.



Monday, December 1, 2014

#Rain : Upcoming Wet Weather Tuesday through Thursday #cawx


Overview

The second in a series of Pacific Storms will bring rainfall to the Bay Area this week. Rain will begin Tuesday morning and wet weather will continue through Thursday. This storm system will bring locally heavy rain, isolated thunderstorms and stronger winds.



CONFIDENCE
·  Moderate-high confidence
UPDATED INFORMATION
·  Initial briefing for this storm.
TIMING
  • Rain begins Tuesday morning by daybreak and continues through Thursday. The heaviest rain will be Tuesday and Wednesday.
  • Southerly winds increase Tuesday morning. The strongest winds will be Wednesday afternoon.
LOCATIONS OF GREATEST IMPACTS
·  Rainfall totals with this storm:
o Urban locations: 1 - 2 inches
o Coastal mountains: 2 - 4 inches. Up to 5 inches possible in the Santa Cruz and Santa Lucia Mountains.
·  Strongest winds: coastal areas and higher elevations 
·  Minor flooding: low lying, poorly drained, and urban areas, small creeks.
·  Debris flow: Pfieffer Burn Scar in Big Sur. Other minor debris flows and rock slides possible.

IMPACTS

* Hazards:
·  No watches/warnings/advisories in effect at this time. Click for latest here.  
·  Hazardous Weather Outlook: http://1.usa.gov/1rdTkiL
·  Hydrologic Outlook: http://1.usa.gov/1ruGIyg (will be updated this afternoon)

* Impact 1 (Minor Flooding) :
·  The ground is not yet saturated this season, so flooding concerns will mainly be confined to low-lying and poorly drained areas, especially in urban areas, and some minor flooding of small streams. 
·  Large rivers are not expected to have flooding concerns. 
·  Clogged storm drains will worsen localized urban and street flooding. 
·  Flooding may be more likely near the coast during high tides.

* Impact 2 (Strong Winds):
·  Wind gusts may bring down trees and potentially power lines, especially in the hills and near the coast where winds will be strongest.
·  Coastal winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 40 mph expected Tuesday and Wednesday. Similar winds in the hills over 1500 feet elevation.

* Impact 3 (Moderate-Heavy Rainfall ):
·  Wet roadways, especially for the Tuesday morning commute.
·  Isolated thunderstorms possible along the coast Tuesday and Wednesday. Small hail will be possible in any thunderstorms that develop.

*Impact 4 (Drought Conditions):
·  This upcoming rainfall will beneficial to our area and while it may provide some short term benefits, it is only just a step in the right direction. California's present drought has evolved over several years’ worth of rainfall deficits, and one storm will not completely end the significant impacts across the state.
·  It will still be important for Californians to conserve water and heed the advice of statewide water management agencies, despite any short term improvements that are observed. It will take several more storms in the next few months to make a significant or long-lasting improvement to California's drought conditions.

NWS will continue to provide email updates if the forecast changes.
Monitor NWS Monterey Facebook and Twitter for further updates.